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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

10:55 → 11:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:55 → 11:00 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-1055

Settled

Nov 15, 11:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$72.01
Index at 10:55:00

Final index

$72.12

Settlement price

$72.12
Index at 11:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
71.9972.0472.0872.1310:5510:5610:5710:5811:00PTB 72.01

Settlement $72.12

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN58.4%High
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.3%
169 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 10:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium47.6%170 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium49.4%170 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium51.2%170 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%170 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low55.3%170 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium47.3%169 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.7%169 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low50.3%169 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low47.9%169 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.7 bps72.02ok
  • Coinbase−0.2 bps72.01ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.01ok
Median of 3 sources$72.01

Settlement · 11:00:00 UTC

11:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.7 bps72.13ok
  • Coinbase−0.2 bps72.12ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps72.12ok
Median of 3 sources$72.12

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:50 → 10:55Nov 1571.9372.01UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 1572.0271.93DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 1571.9972.02UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 1571.9371.99UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 1571.8771.93UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.5%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 1571.8871.87DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 1571.8971.88DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 1572.2471.89DOWN7 / 9 UPUP51.2%LOSS
10:10 → 10:15Nov 1572.2072.24UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 1571.9572.20UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 1571.6871.95UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 1571.8571.68DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN55.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.3%170 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent52.7%169 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.3%169 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent51.2%170 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%170 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent47.9%169 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology