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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9544
Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—
Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
0.95290.95390.95480.955806:0506:0606:0706:0806:10PTB 0.9544
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID
DOWN52.9%Low
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
54.1%
74 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%74 marketsVOID
Momentum AgentDOWN57.3%
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Medium55.4%74 marketsVOID
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%74 marketsVOID
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium52.7%74 marketsVOID
Order Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low45.9%74 marketsVOID
Volatility AgentUP53.3%
UP 53.3%46.7% DOWN
Medium52.7%74 marketsVOID
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low58.1%74 marketsVOID
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low41.9%74 marketsVOID
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low47.3%74 marketsVOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.5 bps0.9545ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9544ok
  • Coinbase−2.5 bps0.9542ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9544

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 150.95820.9544DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.5%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 150.96120.9582DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 150.96150.9612DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 150.96190.9615DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 150.96290.9619DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.3%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 150.96440.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
05:30 → 05:35Nov 150.96710.9644DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 150.97040.9671DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.0%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.97310.9704DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.97150.9731UP5 / 9 UPDOWN53.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.97130.9715UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.0%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.97180.9713DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent55.4%74 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent58.1%74 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent52.7%74 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent47.3%74 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent45.9%74 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent52.7%74 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology