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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

05:25 → 05:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:25 → 05:30 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0525

Settled

Nov 15, 05:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9704
Index at 05:25:00

Final index

$0.9671

Settlement price

$0.9671
Index at 05:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96650.96780.969005:2505:2605:2705:2805:30PTB 0.9704

Settlement $0.9671

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN62.0%High
UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
56.5%
62 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 05:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.0%
UP 41.0%59.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%62 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.6%
UP 44.4%55.6% DOWN
Medium54.8%62 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%62 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium53.2%62 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low43.5%62 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium53.2%62 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low61.3%62 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low38.7%62 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low46.8%62 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9704ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9704ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.9706ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9704

Settlement · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9671ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9671ok
  • Coinbase+2.9 bps0.9674ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9671

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:20 → 05:25Nov 150.97310.9704DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
05:15 → 05:20Nov 150.97150.9731UP5 / 9 UPDOWN53.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 150.97130.9715UP5 / 9 UPDOWN54.0%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 150.97180.9713DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%WIN
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.97230.9718DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.97550.9723DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.97720.9755DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%WIN
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.97320.9772UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.97120.9732UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 150.97880.9712DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 150.97550.9788UP6 / 9 DOWNUP53.9%WIN
04:25 → 04:30Nov 150.97180.9755UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent61.3%62 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent54.8%62 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent53.2%62 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent53.2%62 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent56.5%62 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent46.8%62 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology