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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

05:05 → 05:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:05 → 05:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0505

Settled

Nov 15, 05:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9718
Index at 05:05:00

Final index

$0.9713

Settlement price

$0.9713
Index at 05:10:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96950.97050.972605:0505:0605:0705:0805:10PTB 0.9718

Settlement $0.9713

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN61.0%High
UP 39.0%61.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.9%
54 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 05:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium44.4%54 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%54 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN62.0%
UP 38.0%62.0% DOWN
Medium46.3%54 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%54 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low42.6%54 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Medium48.1%54 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low59.3%54 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low40.7%54 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Low46.3%54 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:05:00 UTC

05:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9717ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9718ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.9720ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9718

Settlement · 05:10:00 UTC

05:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9713ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9711ok
  • Coinbase+1.2 bps0.9714ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9713

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:00 → 05:05Nov 150.97230.9718DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.97550.9723DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.97720.9755DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%WIN
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.97320.9772UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.97120.9732UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 150.97880.9712DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 150.97550.9788UP6 / 9 DOWNUP53.9%WIN
04:25 → 04:30Nov 150.97180.9755UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 150.97100.9718UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 150.97200.9710DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 150.96530.9720UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.1%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 150.96610.9653DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent59.3%54 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent46.3%54 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent50.0%54 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent48.1%54 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.0%54 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent51.9%54 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology