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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

05:00 → 05:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:00 → 05:05 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0500

Settled

Nov 15, 05:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9723
Index at 05:00:00

Final index

$0.9718

Settlement price

$0.9718
Index at 05:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.97070.97150.973205:0005:0105:0205:0305:05PTB 0.9723

Settlement $0.9718

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN69.2%High
UP 30.8%69.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.9%
52 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 05:00:09 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium44.2%52 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.3%
UP 40.7%59.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%52 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium48.1%52 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.7%
UP 43.3%56.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%52 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low42.3%52 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN59.8%
UP 40.2%59.8% DOWN
Medium48.1%52 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low59.6%52 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low38.5%52 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Low46.2%52 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:00:00 UTC

05:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9722ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9723ok
  • Coinbase+0.7 bps0.9724ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9723

Settlement · 05:05:00 UTC

05:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.5 bps0.9717ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9718ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.9720ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9718

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:55 → 05:00Nov 150.97550.9723DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 150.97720.9755DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%WIN
04:45 → 04:50Nov 150.97320.9772UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 150.97120.9732UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.6%LOSS
04:35 → 04:40Nov 150.97880.9712DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 150.97550.9788UP6 / 9 DOWNUP53.9%WIN
04:25 → 04:30Nov 150.97180.9755UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.2%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 150.97100.9718UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 150.97200.9710DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.9%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 150.96530.9720UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN72.1%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 150.96610.9653DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%WIN
04:00 → 04:05Nov 150.96660.9661DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent59.6%52 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent46.2%52 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent50.0%52 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent48.1%52 mkts
  5. 5Meta Agent51.9%52 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent48.1%52 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology