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PROBORA

Market record

ZEC Up or Down · 5 Min

06:40 → 06:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:40 → 06:45 UTC

Market ID zec-5m-20261115-0640

Settled

Nov 15, 06:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$892.51
Index at 06:40:00

Final index

$899.16

Settlement price

$899.16
Index at 06:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
891.81894.34896.86899.3906:4006:4106:4206:4306:45PTB 892.51

Settlement $899.16

UP53.7%Medium
UP 53.7%46.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.4%
31 markets
Model version
meta-zec5-v1
published 06:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 UP

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.6%
UP 53.6%46.4% DOWN
Medium48.4%31 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP54.5%
UP 54.5%45.5% DOWN
Medium48.4%31 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Medium45.2%31 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentUP54.1%
UP 54.1%45.9% DOWN
Medium61.3%31 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.9%
UP 51.9%48.1% DOWN
Low45.2%31 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Medium51.6%31 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low45.2%31 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.6%31 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low54.8%31 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for ZEC: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:40:00 UTC

06:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps892.51ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps892.53ok
  • Coinbase−4.7 bps892.09ok
Median of 3 sources$892.51

Settlement · 06:45:00 UTC

06:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps899.16ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+4.6 bps899.57ok
  • Coinbase−1.4 bps899.03ok
Median of 3 sources$899.16

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min ZEC windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:35 → 06:40Nov 15892.00892.51UP5 / 9 DOWNUP53.2%WIN
06:30 → 06:35Nov 15895.82892.00DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.1%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 15894.57895.82UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 15893.35894.57UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
06:15 → 06:20Nov 15887.86893.35UP7 / 9 DOWNUP56.1%WIN
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 15890.39—VOID6 / 9 DOWNUP59.8%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 15896.27890.39DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP57.7%LOSS
05:55 → 06:00Nov 15898.92896.27DOWN5 / 9 UPUP53.9%LOSS
05:50 → 05:55Nov 15901.35898.92DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.9%LOSS
05:45 → 05:50Nov 15903.95901.35DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP50.3%LOSS
05:40 → 05:45Nov 15904.44903.95DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on ZEC · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · ZEC 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent61.3%31 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent54.8%31 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.6%31 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent48.4%31 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent45.2%31 mkts
  6. 6Liquidation Agent45.2%31 mkts

About this market

Zcash · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology