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PROBORA

Market record

BNB Up or Down · 5 Min

14:35 → 14:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled14:35 → 14:40 UTC

Market ID bnb-5m-20261115-1435

Settled

Nov 15, 14:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$590.99
Index at 14:35:00

Final index

$589.37

Settlement price

$589.37
Index at 14:40:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
589.43589.96590.4814:3514:3614:3714:3814:40PTB 590.99

Settlement $589.37

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.9%Medium
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
46.2%
251 markets
Model version
meta-bnb5-v1
published 14:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 14:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP55.3%
UP 55.3%44.7% DOWN
Medium47.8%251 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Medium48.2%251 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium48.2%251 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Medium48.6%251 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low51.8%251 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP54.1%
UP 54.1%45.9% DOWN
Medium43.8%251 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.6%251 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.0%251 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low51.0%251 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for BNB: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 14:35:00 UTC

14:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.1 bps590.86ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+1.4 bps591.07ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps590.99ok
Median of 3 sources$590.99

Settlement · 14:40:00 UTC

14:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps589.37ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.9 bps589.42ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps589.31ok
Median of 3 sources$589.37

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min BNB windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
14:30 → 14:35Nov 15590.93590.99UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
14:25 → 14:30Nov 15593.87590.93DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
14:20 → 14:25Nov 15594.67593.87DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
14:15 → 14:20Nov 15594.13594.67UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS
14:10 → 14:15Nov 15593.64594.13UP7 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
14:05 → 14:10Nov 15594.00593.64DOWN6 / 9 UPUP51.3%LOSS
14:00 → 14:05Nov 15596.35594.00DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%WIN
13:55 → 14:00Nov 15597.04596.35DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%WIN
13:50 → 13:55Nov 15596.76597.04UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
13:45 → 13:50Nov 15596.60596.76UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.5%LOSS
13:40 → 13:45Nov 15595.53596.60UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.6%LOSS
13:35 → 13:40Nov 15595.89595.53DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on BNB · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · BNB 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent50.6%251 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.8%251 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent51.0%251 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent45.0%251 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent48.2%251 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.6%251 mkts

About this market

BNB · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology