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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:15 → 07:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:15 → 07:20 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0715

Settled

Nov 15, 07:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.220
Index at 07:15:00

Final index

$65.381

Settlement price

$65.381
Index at 07:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.29965.37065.44107:1507:1607:1707:1807:20PTB 65.220

Settlement $65.381

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.4%High
UP 39.6%60.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.5%
97 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 07:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium49.5%97 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium58.8%97 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium52.6%97 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium49.5%97 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low55.7%97 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.5%
UP 45.5%54.5% DOWN
Medium46.4%97 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.5%97 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.5%97 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low47.4%97 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:15:00 UTC

07:15:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+3.4 bps65.242ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.2 bps65.193ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.220ok
Median of 3 sources$65.220

Settlement · 07:20:00 UTC

07:20:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.381ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.1 bps65.361ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.0 bps65.394ok
Median of 3 sources$65.381

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1565.43265.220DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP52.4%LOSS
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1565.25665.432UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 1565.47465.256DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 1565.51665.474DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 1565.66565.516DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 1565.47865.665UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 1565.30765.478UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 1565.33965.307DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
06:30 → 06:35Nov 1565.49265.339DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.1%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 1565.43565.492UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 1565.49465.435DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 1565.26465.494UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent58.8%97 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent55.7%97 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent51.5%97 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.5%97 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent47.4%97 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.5%97 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology