Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:15 → 06:20 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:15 → 06:20 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0615

Settled

Nov 15, 06:20:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.264
Index at 06:15:00

Final index

$65.494

Settlement price

$65.494
Index at 06:20:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.20365.32165.44065.55806:1506:1606:1706:1806:20PTB 65.264

Settlement $65.494

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN50.2%Low
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.6%
77 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 06:15:06 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium49.4%77 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Medium59.7%77 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.8%
UP 52.8%47.2% DOWN
Medium51.9%77 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium49.4%77 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low54.5%77 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium46.8%77 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.9%77 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.1%77 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low44.2%77 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:15:00 UTC

06:15:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.1 bps65.278ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.264ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.5 bps65.248ok
Median of 3 sources$65.264

Settlement · 06:20:00 UTC

06:20:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps65.496ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.494ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.0 bps65.461ok
Median of 3 sources$65.494

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 1565.259—VOID5 / 9 DOWNUP58.4%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 1565.52265.259DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 1565.81565.522DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 1565.88265.815DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 1565.98765.882DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 1565.89765.987UP7 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 1565.77365.897UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 1566.01265.773DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 1566.11166.124UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent59.7%77 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent54.5%77 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent51.9%77 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.1%77 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent49.4%77 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent49.4%77 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology