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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:20 → 05:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:20 → 05:25 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0520

Settled

Nov 15, 05:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.111
Index at 05:20:00

Final index

$66.124

Settlement price

$66.124
Index at 05:25:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.00266.04766.09266.13705:2005:2105:2205:2305:25PTB 66.111

Settlement $66.124

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN58.4%High
UP 41.6%58.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
60 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 05:20:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%60 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium60.0%60 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.9%
UP 45.1%54.9% DOWN
Medium55.0%60 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium51.7%60 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low53.3%60 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium43.3%60 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.7%60 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.7%60 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low46.7%60 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:20:00 UTC

05:20:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.2 bps66.112ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.111ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.2 bps66.077ok
Median of 3 sources$66.111

Settlement · 05:25:00 UTC

05:25:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.3 bps66.126ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.124ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.7 bps66.106ok
Median of 3 sources$66.124

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 1565.90165.979UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 1565.85065.901UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
05:00 → 05:05Nov 1565.88865.850DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 1566.19165.888DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 1566.15266.191UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 1565.93166.152UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 1566.04465.931DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:35 → 04:40Nov 1566.30266.044DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 1566.36266.302DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
04:25 → 04:30Nov 1566.26266.362UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 1566.12266.262UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.0%60 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.7%60 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent53.3%60 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent51.7%60 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent51.7%60 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent55.0%60 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology