Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

04:30 → 04:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled04:30 → 04:35 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0430

Settled

Nov 15, 04:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.362

Index at 04:30:00

Final index

$66.302

Settlement price

$66.302

Index at 04:35:00

Outcome

DOWN

Immutable record

Settlement $66.302

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN

DOWN65.6%High

UP 34.4%65.6% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 47.6%; 42 markets
Model version: meta-hype5-v1; published 04:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	DOWN57.7%	UP 42.3%57.7% DOWN	Medium	45.2%42 markets	trend-hype5-v204:30:07 UTC	WIN
Momentum Agent	DOWN57.5%	UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN	Medium	57.1%42 markets	momentum-hype5-v204:30:07 UTC	WIN
Mean Reversion Agent	DOWN62.2%	UP 37.8%62.2% DOWN	Medium	50.0%42 markets	meanrev-hype5-v204:30:07 UTC	WIN
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN66.5%	UP 33.5%66.5% DOWN	High	47.6%42 markets	rsidiv-hype5-v204:30:07 UTC	WIN
Order Flow Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	57.1%42 markets	orderflow-hype5-v104:30:07 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	DOWN54.7%	UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN	Medium	42.9%42 markets	volatility-hype5-v204:30:07 UTC	WIN
Liquidation Agent	UP50.0%	UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN	Low	54.8%42 markets	liquidation-hype5-v104:30:07 UTC	LOSS
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	47.6%42 markets	oifunding-hype5-v104:30:07 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	DOWN50.1%	UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN	Low	47.6%42 markets	whaleflow-hype5-v104:30:07 UTC	WIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:30:00 UTC

04:30:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.362ok
Hyperliquid−2.9 bps66.344ok
OKXUSDT→USD+2.9 bps66.381ok

Median of 3 sources$66.362

Settlement · 04:35:00 UTC

04:35:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.302ok
Hyperliquid−12.2 bps66.221ok
OKXUSDT→USD+2.7 bps66.320ok

Median of 3 sources$66.302

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
04:25 → 04:30Nov 15	66.262	66.362	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.9%	LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 15	66.122	66.262	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.7%	LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 15	66.171	66.122	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN50.7%	WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 15	65.698	66.171	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.7%	LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 15	65.814	65.698	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN58.7%	WIN
04:00 → 04:05Nov 15	66.120	65.814	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN64.6%	WIN
03:55 → 04:00Nov 15	66.061	66.120	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN68.2%	LOSS
03:50 → 03:55Nov 15	66.289	66.061	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN69.0%	WIN
03:45 → 03:50Nov 15	66.193	66.289	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.4%	LOSS
03:40 → 03:45Nov 15	65.939	66.193	UP	5 / 9 DOWN	DOWN52.8%	LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 15	65.874	65.939	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN54.1%	LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 15	66.095	65.874	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.6%	WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent57.1%42 mkts
2Liquidation Agent54.8%42 mkts
3Momentum Agent57.1%42 mkts
4OI/Funding Agent47.6%42 mkts
5Whale Flow Agent47.6%42 mkts
6RSI Divergence Agent47.6%42 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology