Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:35 → 03:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:35 → 03:40 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0335

Settled

Nov 15, 03:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.874
Index at 03:35:00

Final index

$65.939

Settlement price

$65.939
Index at 03:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.97366.06366.15203:3503:3603:3703:3803:40PTB 65.874

Settlement $65.939

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN54.1%Low
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
39.1%
23 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 03:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium39.1%23 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium43.5%23 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.1%
UP 54.1%45.9% DOWN
Medium52.2%23 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Medium43.5%23 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low65.2%23 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium39.1%23 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low60.9%23 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low43.5%23 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low52.2%23 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:35:00 UTC

03:35:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.874ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.6 bps65.844ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.2 bps65.882ok
Median of 3 sources$65.874

Settlement · 03:40:00 UTC

03:40:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.939ok
  • Hyperliquid−1.6 bps65.929ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps65.945ok
Median of 3 sources$65.939

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:30 → 03:35Nov 1566.09565.874DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 1566.31366.095DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.3%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 1566.47966.313DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1566.26066.479UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1566.21866.260UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1566.05966.096UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1565.79566.059UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1565.97065.795DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.5%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent65.2%23 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent60.9%23 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent52.2%23 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.5%23 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent52.2%23 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent43.5%23 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology