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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:25 → 03:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:25 → 03:30 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0325

Settled

Nov 15, 03:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.313
Index at 03:25:00

Final index

$66.095

Settlement price

$66.095
Index at 03:30:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
66.08666.16366.23903:2503:2603:2703:2803:30PTB 66.313

Settlement $66.095

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN63.3%High
UP 36.7%63.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
40.0%
20 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 03:25:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN60.1%
UP 39.9%60.1% DOWN
Medium40.0%20 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium50.0%20 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium50.0%20 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium40.0%20 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low65.0%20 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium40.0%20 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low60.0%20 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low45.0%20 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low50.0%20 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:25:00 UTC

03:25:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.4 bps66.310ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps66.313ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps66.319ok
Median of 3 sources$66.313

Settlement · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.095ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.7 bps66.077ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps66.101ok
Median of 3 sources$66.095

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:20 → 03:25Nov 1566.47966.313DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1566.26066.479UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1566.21866.260UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1566.05966.096UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1565.79566.059UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1565.97065.795DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.5%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent65.0%20 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent60.0%20 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent50.0%20 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent45.0%20 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent50.0%20 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent50.0%20 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology