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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:20 → 03:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:20 → 03:25 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0320

Settled

Nov 15, 03:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.479
Index at 03:20:00

Final index

$66.313

Settlement price

$66.313
Index at 03:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
66.32566.43466.54266.65103:2003:2103:2203:2303:25PTB 66.479

Settlement $66.313

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN68.6%High
UP 31.4%68.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
35.3%
17 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 03:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.9%
UP 41.1%58.9% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.9%
UP 43.1%56.9% DOWN
Medium47.1%17 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN61.6%
UP 38.4%61.6% DOWN
Medium47.1%17 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low70.6%17 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN60.5%
UP 39.5%60.5% DOWN
Medium35.3%17 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low64.7%17 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low41.2%17 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low52.9%17 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:20:00 UTC

03:20:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.5 bps66.489ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.479ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.2 bps66.458ok
Median of 3 sources$66.479

Settlement · 03:25:00 UTC

03:25:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps66.319ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.4 bps66.310ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps66.313ok
Median of 3 sources$66.313

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1566.26066.479UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1566.21866.260UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1566.05966.096UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 1565.79566.059UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.0%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 1565.97065.795DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.5%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 1566.17165.970DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
02:35 → 02:40Nov 1565.88066.171UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 1565.79965.880UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.9%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 1565.76065.799UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent70.6%17 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent64.7%17 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent52.9%17 mkts
  4. 4Momentum Agent47.1%17 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent41.2%17 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent47.1%17 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology