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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:55 → 04:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:55 → 04:00 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0355

Settled

Nov 15, 04:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.061
Index at 03:55:00

Final index

$66.120

Settlement price

$66.120
Index at 04:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.01566.05166.08766.12303:5503:5603:5703:5804:00PTB 66.061

Settlement $66.120

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN68.2%High
UP 31.8%68.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
41.4%
29 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 03:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.4%
UP 42.6%57.4% DOWN
Medium41.4%29 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.3%
UP 39.7%60.3% DOWN
Medium51.7%29 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Medium51.7%29 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.0%
UP 45.0%55.0% DOWN
Medium44.8%29 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low65.5%29 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium37.9%29 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low58.6%29 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low44.8%29 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low55.2%29 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:55:00 UTC

03:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD−0.8 bps66.056ok
  • Hyperliquid+0.2 bps66.063ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.061ok
Median of 3 sources$66.061

Settlement · 04:00:00 UTC

04:00:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.120ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.3 bps66.092ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.3 bps66.135ok
Median of 3 sources$66.120

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:50 → 03:55Nov 1566.28966.061DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN
03:45 → 03:50Nov 1566.19366.289UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.4%LOSS
03:40 → 03:45Nov 1565.93966.193UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 1565.87465.939UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 1566.09565.874DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 1566.31366.095DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.3%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 1566.47966.313DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1566.26066.479UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1566.21866.260UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 1566.05966.096UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent65.5%29 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent58.6%29 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent55.2%29 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent44.8%29 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent51.7%29 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent51.7%29 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology