Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

04:00 → 04:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:00 → 04:05 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0400

Settled

Nov 15, 04:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.120
Index at 04:00:00

Final index

$65.814

Settlement price

$65.814
Index at 04:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.81365.97166.28804:0004:0104:0204:0304:05PTB 66.120

Settlement $65.814

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.6%High
UP 35.4%64.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
45.2%
31 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 04:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.2%
UP 45.8%54.2% DOWN
Medium45.2%31 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium54.8%31 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium51.6%31 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.2%
UP 46.8%53.2% DOWN
Medium48.4%31 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low61.3%31 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN60.2%
UP 39.8%60.2% DOWN
Medium41.9%31 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.8%31 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low48.4%31 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low54.8%31 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:00:00 UTC

04:00:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.120ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.3 bps66.092ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.3 bps66.135ok
Median of 3 sources$66.120

Settlement · 04:05:00 UTC

04:05:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.814ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.4 bps65.779ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.0 bps65.834ok
Median of 3 sources$65.814

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:55 → 04:00Nov 1566.06166.120UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
03:50 → 03:55Nov 1566.28966.061DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN
03:45 → 03:50Nov 1566.19366.289UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.4%LOSS
03:40 → 03:45Nov 1565.93966.193UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.8%LOSS
03:35 → 03:40Nov 1565.87465.939UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
03:30 → 03:35Nov 1566.09565.874DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
03:25 → 03:30Nov 1566.31366.095DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.3%WIN
03:20 → 03:25Nov 1566.47966.313DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.6%WIN
03:15 → 03:20Nov 1566.26066.479UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.9%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 1566.21866.260UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.5%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 1566.14766.218UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%LOSS
03:00 → 03:05Nov 1566.09666.147UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent61.3%31 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent54.8%31 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent54.8%31 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.4%31 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent54.8%31 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent48.4%31 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology