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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

04:50 → 04:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled04:50 → 04:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0450

Settled

Nov 15, 04:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.152
Index at 04:50:00

Final index

$66.191

Settlement price

$66.191
Index at 04:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
66.18566.22566.26404:5004:5104:5204:5304:55PTB 66.152

Settlement $66.191

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.9%Low
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
48 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 04:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium47.9%48 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Medium60.4%48 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium50.0%48 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%48 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low58.3%48 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium41.7%48 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low56.3%48 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%48 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low52.1%48 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:50:00 UTC

04:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.152ok
  • Hyperliquid−6.1 bps66.112ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.5 bps66.162ok
Median of 3 sources$66.152

Settlement · 04:55:00 UTC

04:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.191ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.6 bps66.167ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.8 bps66.203ok
Median of 3 sources$66.191

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:45 → 04:50Nov 1565.93166.152UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 1566.04465.931DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:35 → 04:40Nov 1566.30266.044DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 1566.36266.302DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
04:25 → 04:30Nov 1566.26266.362UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.9%LOSS
04:20 → 04:25Nov 1566.12266.262UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%LOSS
04:15 → 04:20Nov 1566.17166.122DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.7%WIN
04:10 → 04:15Nov 1565.69866.171UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
04:05 → 04:10Nov 1565.81465.698DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%WIN
04:00 → 04:05Nov 1566.12065.814DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.6%WIN
03:55 → 04:00Nov 1566.06166.120UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.2%LOSS
03:50 → 03:55Nov 1566.28966.061DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.4%48 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent56.3%48 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent58.3%48 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent52.1%48 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent50.0%48 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%48 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology