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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:30 → 05:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:30 → 05:35 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0530

Settled

Nov 15, 05:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$66.012
Index at 05:30:00

Final index

$65.773

Settlement price

$65.773
Index at 05:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.76665.84965.93105:3005:3105:3205:3305:35PTB 66.012

Settlement $65.773

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN63.4%High
UP 36.6%63.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.6%
64 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 05:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium51.6%64 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium62.5%64 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium54.7%64 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium51.6%64 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low53.1%64 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN58.5%
UP 41.5%58.5% DOWN
Medium45.3%64 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%64 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.6%64 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low45.3%64 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:30:00 UTC

05:30:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps66.023ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps66.012ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.3 bps65.991ok
Median of 3 sources$66.012

Settlement · 05:35:00 UTC

05:35:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.0 bps65.793ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.773ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.7 bps65.749ok
Median of 3 sources$65.773

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 1566.11166.124UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 1565.90165.979UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 1565.85065.901UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
05:00 → 05:05Nov 1565.88865.850DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 1566.19165.888DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 1566.15266.191UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 1565.93166.152UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS
04:40 → 04:45Nov 1566.04465.931DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.1%WIN
04:35 → 04:40Nov 1566.30266.044DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.6%WIN
04:30 → 04:35Nov 1566.36266.302DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent62.5%64 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.1%64 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.6%64 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent51.6%64 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%64 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent51.6%64 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology