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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:55 → 06:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:55 → 06:00 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0555

Settled

Nov 15, 06:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.815
Index at 05:55:00

Final index

$65.522

Settlement price

$65.522
Index at 06:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.53565.64665.75865.86905:5505:5605:5705:5806:00PTB 65.815

Settlement $65.522

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN58.2%High
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.1%
71 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 05:55:08 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.4%
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Medium50.7%71 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium62.0%71 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP52.5%
UP 52.5%47.5% DOWN
Medium53.5%71 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium50.7%71 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low53.5%71 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium46.5%71 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.7%71 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.7%71 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.5%
UP 51.5%48.5% DOWN
Low43.7%71 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:55:00 UTC

05:55:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.815ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.9 bps65.821ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.3 bps65.801ok
Median of 3 sources$65.815

Settlement · 06:00:00 UTC

06:00:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+3.8 bps65.547ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.522ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.5 bps65.499ok
Median of 3 sources$65.522

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:50 → 05:55Nov 1565.88265.815DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 1565.98765.882DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 1565.89765.987UP7 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 1565.77365.897UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 1566.01265.773DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 1566.11166.124UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 1565.90165.979UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 1565.85065.901UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
05:00 → 05:05Nov 1565.88865.850DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 1566.19165.888DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent62.0%71 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent53.5%71 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.7%71 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent50.7%71 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent50.7%71 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent50.7%71 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology