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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

05:45 → 05:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled05:45 → 05:50 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0545

Settled

Nov 15, 05:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.987
Index at 05:45:00

Final index

$65.882

Settlement price

$65.882
Index at 05:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.86465.90465.94305:4505:4605:4705:4805:50PTB 65.987

Settlement $65.882

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN63.0%High
UP 37.0%63.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.9%
68 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 05:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 05:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.7%
UP 46.3%53.7% DOWN
Medium51.5%68 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium61.8%68 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium52.9%68 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium51.5%68 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low52.9%68 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN57.6%
UP 42.4%57.6% DOWN
Medium45.6%68 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low50.0%68 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.5%68 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low44.1%68 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 05:45:00 UTC

05:45:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+2.0 bps66.000ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.987ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.0 bps65.974ok
Median of 3 sources$65.987

Settlement · 05:50:00 UTC

05:50:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.9 bps65.875ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD+3.2 bps65.902ok
  • Hyperliquid0.0 bps65.882ok
Median of 3 sources$65.882

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
05:40 → 05:45Nov 1565.89765.987UP7 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 1565.77365.897UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 1566.01265.773DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 1566.11166.124UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 1565.90165.979UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 1565.85065.901UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
05:00 → 05:05Nov 1565.88865.850DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.2%WIN
04:55 → 05:00Nov 1566.19165.888DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
04:50 → 04:55Nov 1566.15266.191UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%LOSS
04:45 → 04:50Nov 1565.93166.152UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent61.8%68 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.9%68 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent51.5%68 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent51.5%68 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%68 mkts
  6. 6Trend Agent51.5%68 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology