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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:05 → 06:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

This window was cancelled (VOID)Offline at settlement

The network was not ingesting prices at the settlement instant. Markets are never settled late from historical data. The predictions below stay on the record as VOID: they are excluded from accuracy, calibration and learning.

Void06:05 → 06:10 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0605

Settled

Nov 15, 06:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.259
Index at 06:05:00

Final index

—

Settlement price

—
Index at 06:10:00

Outcome

VOID
Immutable record
65.29665.33965.38306:0506:0606:0706:0806:10PTB 65.259
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsVOID
UP58.4%Medium
UP 58.4%41.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.7%
74 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 06:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP56.1%
UP 56.1%43.9% DOWN
Medium51.4%74 marketsVOID
Momentum AgentUP55.4%
UP 55.4%44.6% DOWN
Medium60.8%74 marketsVOID
Mean Reversion AgentUP57.2%
UP 57.2%42.8% DOWN
Medium54.1%74 marketsVOID
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium51.4%74 marketsVOID
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.9%
UP 48.1%51.9% DOWN
Low52.7%74 marketsVOID
Volatility AgentUP53.1%
UP 53.1%46.9% DOWN
Medium47.3%74 marketsVOID
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low50.0%74 marketsVOID
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low50.0%74 marketsVOID
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low43.2%74 marketsVOID

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:05:00 UTC

06:05:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps65.270ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.259ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.4 bps65.224ok
Median of 3 sources$65.259

Settlement · 06:10:00 UTC

Available at settlement.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:00 → 06:05Nov 1565.52265.259DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 1565.81565.522DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 1565.88265.815DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 1565.98765.882DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 1565.89765.987UP7 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 1565.77365.897UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 1566.01265.773DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:20 → 05:25Nov 1566.11166.124UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.4%LOSS
05:15 → 05:20Nov 1565.97966.111UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.7%LOSS
05:10 → 05:15Nov 1565.90165.979UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
05:05 → 05:10Nov 1565.85065.901UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.8%74 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent52.7%74 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent50.0%74 mkts
  4. 4RSI Divergence Agent51.4%74 mkts
  5. 5Liquidation Agent50.0%74 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent52.7%74 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology