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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

06:25 → 06:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled06:25 → 06:30 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0625

Settled

Nov 15, 06:30:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.435
Index at 06:25:00

Final index

$65.492

Settlement price

$65.492
Index at 06:30:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
65.41865.48565.55165.61806:2506:2606:2706:2806:30PTB 65.435

Settlement $65.492

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN55.8%High
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.2%
80 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 06:25:05 UTC

Base consensus

9 / 9 DOWN

100.0% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 06:25:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN53.8%
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Medium48.8%80 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium60.0%80 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium51.2%80 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium48.8%80 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low55.0%80 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium47.5%80 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.5%80 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low47.5%80 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low45.0%80 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 06:25:00 UTC

06:25:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.8 bps65.447ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.435ok
  • Hyperliquid−9.7 bps65.372ok
Median of 3 sources$65.435

Settlement · 06:30:00 UTC

06:30:00 UTC
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.5 bps65.502ok
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.492ok
  • Hyperliquid−6.4 bps65.451ok
Median of 3 sources$65.492

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:20 → 06:25Nov 1565.49465.435DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 1565.26465.494UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 1565.259—VOID5 / 9 DOWNUP58.4%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 1565.52265.259DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN
05:55 → 06:00Nov 1565.81565.522DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%WIN
05:50 → 05:55Nov 1565.88265.815DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%WIN
05:45 → 05:50Nov 1565.98765.882DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.0%WIN
05:40 → 05:45Nov 1565.89765.987UP7 / 9 DOWNUP50.8%WIN
05:35 → 05:40Nov 1565.77365.897UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.5%LOSS
05:30 → 05:35Nov 1566.01265.773DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN
05:25 → 05:30Nov 1566.12466.012DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.4%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent60.0%80 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent55.0%80 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent52.5%80 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent47.5%80 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent48.8%80 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent45.0%80 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology