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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:00 → 07:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:00 → 07:05 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0700

Settled

Nov 15, 07:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$65.474
Index at 07:00:00

Final index

$65.256

Settlement price

$65.256
Index at 07:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
65.19965.28765.37607:0007:0107:0207:0307:05PTB 65.474

Settlement $65.256

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN67.7%High
UP 32.3%67.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.2%
92 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 07:00:10 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.8%
UP 44.2%55.8% DOWN
Medium50.0%92 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN53.1%
UP 46.9%53.1% DOWN
Medium59.8%92 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.3%
UP 46.7%53.3% DOWN
Medium52.2%92 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium50.0%92 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low55.4%92 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN61.5%
UP 38.5%61.5% DOWN
Medium46.7%92 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low51.1%92 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low48.9%92 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.5%
UP 47.5%52.5% DOWN
Low46.7%92 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:00:00 UTC

07:00:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.474ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.2 bps65.440ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps65.479ok
Median of 3 sources$65.474

Settlement · 07:05:00 UTC

07:05:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD+0.3 bps65.258ok
  • Hyperliquid−5.6 bps65.220ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps65.256ok
Median of 3 sources$65.256

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
06:55 → 07:00Nov 1565.51665.474DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 1565.66565.516DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 1565.47865.665UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.0%LOSS
06:40 → 06:45Nov 1565.30765.478UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%LOSS
06:35 → 06:40Nov 1565.33965.307DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.4%WIN
06:30 → 06:35Nov 1565.49265.339DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.1%WIN
06:25 → 06:30Nov 1565.43565.492UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.8%LOSS
06:20 → 06:25Nov 1565.49465.435DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
06:15 → 06:20Nov 1565.26465.494UP5 / 9 UPDOWN50.2%LOSS
06:10 → 06:15Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
06:05 → 06:10Nov 1565.259—VOID5 / 9 DOWNUP58.4%VOID
06:00 → 06:05Nov 1565.52265.259DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Momentum Agent59.8%92 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent55.4%92 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent51.1%92 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent48.9%92 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.7%92 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%92 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology