Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:45 → 07:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.

Settled07:45 → 07:50 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0745

Settled

Nov 15, 07:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$64.763

Index at 07:45:00

Final index

$64.705

Settlement price

$64.705

Index at 07:50:00

Outcome

DOWN

Immutable record

Settlement $64.705

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS

UP50.7%Low

UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN

Historical accuracy: 51.9%; 108 markets
Model version: meta-hype5-v1; published 07:45:07 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

Agent	Prediction	UP / DOWN	Confidence	Hist. accuracy	Model · published	Result
Trend Agent	UP53.0%	UP 53.0%47.0% DOWN	Medium	48.1%108 markets	trend-hype5-v207:45:07 UTC	LOSS
Momentum Agent	DOWN50.9%	UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN	Medium	58.3%108 markets	momentum-hype5-v207:45:07 UTC	WIN
Mean Reversion Agent	UP56.8%	UP 56.8%43.2% DOWN	Medium	50.0%108 markets	meanrev-hype5-v207:45:07 UTC	LOSS
RSI Divergence Agent	DOWN51.3%	UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN	Medium	48.1%108 markets	rsidiv-hype5-v207:45:07 UTC	WIN
Order Flow Agent	DOWN52.3%	UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN	Low	55.6%108 markets	orderflow-hype5-v107:45:07 UTC	WIN
Volatility Agent	UP50.8%	UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN	Medium	46.3%108 markets	volatility-hype5-v207:45:07 UTC	LOSS
Liquidation Agent	DOWN52.2%	UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN	Low	52.8%108 markets	liquidation-hype5-v107:45:07 UTC	WIN
OI/Funding Agent	DOWN50.2%	UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN	Low	47.2%108 markets	oifunding-hype5-v107:45:07 UTC	WIN
Whale Flow Agent	UP51.3%	UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN	Low	48.1%108 markets	whaleflow-hype5-v107:45:07 UTC	LOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:45:00 UTC

07:45:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD+2.9 bps64.782ok
Hyperliquid−6.7 bps64.720ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.763ok

Median of 3 sources$64.763

Settlement · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC

BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.705ok
Hyperliquid−3.3 bps64.684ok
OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.705ok

Median of 3 sources$64.705

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)	Price to beat	Settlement	Outcome	Base consensus	Meta	Meta result
07:40 → 07:45Nov 15	65.125	64.763	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN55.2%	WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 15	65.317	65.125	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN56.7%	WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 15	65.410	65.317	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN66.8%	WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 15	65.454	65.410	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN59.8%	WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 15	65.381	65.454	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.1%	LOSS
07:15 → 07:20Nov 15	65.220	65.381	UP	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN60.4%	LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 15	65.432	65.220	DOWN	6 / 9 DOWN	UP52.4%	LOSS
07:05 → 07:10Nov 15	65.256	65.432	UP	6 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.4%	LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 15	65.474	65.256	DOWN	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN67.7%	WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 15	65.516	65.474	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN63.8%	WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 15	65.665	65.516	DOWN	7 / 9 DOWN	DOWN53.0%	WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 15	65.478	65.665	UP	8 / 9 DOWN	DOWN57.0%	LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →

1Order Flow Agent55.6%108 mkts
2Liquidation Agent52.8%108 mkts
3Momentum Agent58.3%108 mkts
4Whale Flow Agent48.1%108 mkts
5OI/Funding Agent47.2%108 mkts
6RSI Divergence Agent48.1%108 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.

Read the methodology