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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

07:50 → 07:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:50 → 07:55 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0750

Settled

Nov 15, 07:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$64.705
Index at 07:50:00

Final index

$64.831

Settlement price

$64.831
Index at 07:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
64.62264.75664.82307:5007:5107:5207:5307:55PTB 64.705

Settlement $64.831

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP55.4%Medium
UP 55.4%44.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.4%
109 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 07:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP54.3%
UP 54.3%45.7% DOWN
Medium47.7%109 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP53.2%
UP 53.2%46.8% DOWN
Medium57.8%109 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium49.5%109 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.8%
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Medium47.7%109 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low56.0%109 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP52.5%
UP 52.5%47.5% DOWN
Medium45.9%109 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low53.2%109 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low46.8%109 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low48.6%109 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.705ok
  • Hyperliquid−3.3 bps64.684ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.705ok
Median of 3 sources$64.705

Settlement · 07:55:00 UTC

07:55:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.831ok
  • Hyperliquid−9.8 bps64.768ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.9 bps64.837ok
Median of 3 sources$64.831

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:45 → 07:50Nov 1564.76364.705DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.7%LOSS
07:40 → 07:45Nov 1565.12564.763DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.2%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 1565.31765.125DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 1565.41065.317DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 1565.45465.410DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.8%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 1565.38165.454UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.1%LOSS
07:15 → 07:20Nov 1565.22065.381UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.4%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1565.43265.220DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP52.4%LOSS
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1565.25665.432UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 1565.47465.256DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 1565.51665.474DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 1565.66565.516DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent56.0%109 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent53.2%109 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent57.8%109 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.6%109 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent46.8%109 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent47.7%109 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology