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PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

11:35 → 11:40 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:35 → 11:40 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1135

Settled

Nov 15, 11:40:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.190
Index at 11:35:00

Final index

$3.200

Settlement price

$3.200
Index at 11:40:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
3.1933.1973.20011:3511:3611:3711:3811:40PTB 3.190

Settlement $3.200

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
UP54.0%Medium
UP 54.0%46.0% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.3%
117 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 11:35:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:35:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Medium45.3%117 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentUP53.1%
UP 53.1%46.9% DOWN
Medium53.0%117 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.3%
UP 45.7%54.3% DOWN
Medium43.6%117 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP51.7%
UP 51.7%48.3% DOWN
Medium53.0%117 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low57.3%117 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Medium47.0%117 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low45.3%117 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low53.0%117 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low56.4%117 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:35:00 UTC

11:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.190ok
  • Coinbase+1.3 bps3.191ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.190ok
Median of 3 sources$3.190

Settlement · 11:40:00 UTC

11:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−4.7 bps3.198ok
  • Coinbase+7.5 bps3.202ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.200ok
Median of 3 sources$3.200

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:30 → 11:35Nov 153.1873.190UP5 / 9 UPDOWN57.1%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 153.1833.187UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 153.1853.183DOWN8 / 9 UPUP50.9%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 153.1773.185UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.9%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 153.1733.177UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.4%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 153.1733.173FLAT5 / 9 UPUP50.9%PUSH
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 153.1833.182DOWN7 / 9 UPUP54.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 153.1763.183UP5 / 9 UPUP51.7%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 153.1753.176UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
10:40 → 10:45Nov 153.1773.175DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%WIN
10:35 → 10:40Nov 153.1703.177UP5 / 9 UPUP53.3%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1RSI Divergence Agent53.0%117 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent57.3%117 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent56.4%117 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent53.0%117 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent53.0%117 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent51.3%117 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology