Skip to content
PROBORA

Market record

NEAR Up or Down · 5 Min

11:40 → 11:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:40 → 11:45 UTC

Market ID near-5m-20261115-1140

Settled

Nov 15, 11:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$3.200
Index at 11:40:00

Final index

$3.196

Settlement price

$3.196
Index at 11:45:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
3.1963.2053.20911:4011:4111:4211:4311:45PTB 3.200

Settlement $3.196

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN52.7%Medium
UP 47.3%52.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.8%
118 markets
Model version
meta-near5-v1
published 11:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous windowNext window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Medium44.9%118 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium52.5%118 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP56.9%
UP 56.9%43.1% DOWN
Medium43.2%118 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.9%
UP 49.1%50.9% DOWN
Medium52.5%118 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.1%
UP 51.1%48.9% DOWN
Low57.6%118 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN53.5%
UP 46.5%53.5% DOWN
Medium46.6%118 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low45.8%118 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Low52.5%118 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Low56.8%118 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for NEAR: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:40:00 UTC

11:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−4.7 bps3.198ok
  • Coinbase+7.5 bps3.202ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.200ok
Median of 3 sources$3.200

Settlement · 11:45:00 UTC

11:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps3.196ok
  • Coinbase+7.9 bps3.199ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps3.196ok
Median of 3 sources$3.196

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min NEAR windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:35 → 11:40Nov 153.1903.200UP6 / 9 UPUP54.0%WIN
11:30 → 11:35Nov 153.1873.190UP5 / 9 UPDOWN57.1%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 153.1833.187UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 153.1853.183DOWN8 / 9 UPUP50.9%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 153.1773.185UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.9%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 153.1733.177UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.4%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 153.1733.173FLAT5 / 9 UPUP50.9%PUSH
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 153.1833.182DOWN7 / 9 UPUP54.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 153.1763.183UP5 / 9 UPUP51.7%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 153.1753.176UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
10:40 → 10:45Nov 153.1773.175DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN51.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on NEAR · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · NEAR 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent57.6%118 mkts
  2. 2Whale Flow Agent56.8%118 mkts
  3. 3RSI Divergence Agent52.5%118 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent52.5%118 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent52.5%118 mkts
  6. 6Meta Agent50.8%118 mkts

About this market

NEAR Protocol · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology