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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 5 Min

08:05 → 08:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:05 → 08:10 UTC

Market ID sol-5m-20261115-0805

Settled

Nov 15, 08:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$69.96
Index at 08:05:00

Final index

$70.07

Settlement price

$70.07
Index at 08:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
69.8669.9470.0170.0908:0508:0608:0708:0808:10PTB 69.96

Settlement $70.07

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN53.8%Medium
UP 46.2%53.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.0%
115 markets
Model version
meta-sol5-v1
published 08:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Medium44.8%116 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Medium46.6%116 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.7%
UP 48.3%51.7% DOWN
Medium49.1%116 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Medium47.4%116 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP52.1%
UP 52.1%47.9% DOWN
Low56.9%116 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium48.7%115 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.3%115 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low53.0%115 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low46.1%115 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.7 bps69.97ok
  • Coinbase−4.9 bps69.93ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps69.96ok
Median of 3 sources$69.96

Settlement · 08:10:00 UTC

08:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps70.07ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps70.08ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps70.06ok
Median of 3 sources$70.07

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:00 → 08:05Nov 1569.9269.96UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 1569.8169.92UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.0%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 1569.6469.81UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.1%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 1569.7069.64DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 1569.9769.70DOWN9 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.9%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 1570.1969.97DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 1570.3270.19DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 1570.3670.32DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 1570.3870.36DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.1%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 1570.2770.38UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1570.4670.27DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.8%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1570.2770.46UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent56.9%116 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.3%115 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.0%115 mkts
  4. 4Mean Reversion Agent49.1%116 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.1%115 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent47.4%116 mkts

About this market

Solana · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology