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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

03:20 → 03:25 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled03:20 → 03:25 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-0320

Settled

Nov 15, 03:25:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05902
Index at 03:20:00

Final index

$0.05893

Settlement price

$0.05893
Index at 03:25:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058940.058990.059040.0590903:2003:2103:2203:2303:25PTB 0.05902

Settlement $0.05893

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN57.5%Medium
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
37.5%
16 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 03:20:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:20:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium37.5%16 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN55.5%
UP 44.5%55.5% DOWN
Medium37.5%16 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN60.1%
UP 39.9%60.1% DOWN
Medium68.8%16 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.0%
UP 47.0%53.0% DOWN
Medium37.5%16 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low56.3%16 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Medium43.8%16 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low50.0%16 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low43.8%16 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low43.8%16 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:20:00 UTC

03:20:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.05902ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05902ok
  • Coinbase−0.9 bps0.05901ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05902

Settlement · 03:25:00 UTC

03:25:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05892ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05893ok
  • Coinbase+4.1 bps0.05895ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05893

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:20Nov 150.058930.05902UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
03:10 → 03:15Nov 150.058850.05893UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
03:05 → 03:10Nov 150.058850.05885FLAT6 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%PUSH
03:00 → 03:05Nov 150.058560.05885UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
02:55 → 03:00Nov 150.058460.05856UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%LOSS
02:50 → 02:55Nov 150.058380.05846UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.7%LOSS
02:45 → 02:50Nov 150.058390.05838DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%WIN
02:40 → 02:45Nov 150.058240.05839UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.0%LOSS
02:35 → 02:40Nov 150.058140.05824UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.5%LOSS
02:30 → 02:35Nov 150.058130.05814UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
02:25 → 02:30Nov 150.058010.05813UP—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent68.8%16 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent56.3%16 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent50.0%16 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent43.8%16 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent43.8%16 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent43.8%16 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology