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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

11:45 → 11:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:45 → 11:50 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1145

Settled

Nov 15, 11:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05929
Index at 11:45:00

Final index

$0.05922

Settlement price

$0.05922
Index at 11:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059210.059240.0592611:4511:4611:4711:4811:50PTB 0.05929

Settlement $0.05922

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.8%Low
UP 48.2%51.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.5%
183 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 11:45:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium46.4%183 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium46.4%183 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Medium51.4%183 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium49.7%183 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low51.4%183 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium45.4%183 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.6%183 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low54.1%183 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Low50.3%183 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:45:00 UTC

11:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05929ok
  • Coinbase+4.1 bps0.05931ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05928ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05929

Settlement · 11:50:00 UTC

11:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05922ok
  • Coinbase+2.3 bps0.05923ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05921ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05922

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%LOSS
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.059180.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.059170.05918UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.059090.05917UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.059060.05909UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.058940.05906UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.059000.05894DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.059130.05916UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.059020.05913UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.059110.05902DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.6%183 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.4%183 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.1%183 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.3%183 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent51.4%183 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.7%183 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology