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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

11:50 → 11:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:50 → 11:55 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1150

Settled

Nov 15, 11:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05922
Index at 11:50:00

Final index

$0.05919

Settlement price

$0.05919
Index at 11:55:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059120.059150.0591911:5011:5111:5211:5311:55PTB 0.05922

Settlement $0.05919

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN50.4%Low
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.6%
185 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 11:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 UP

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.0%
UP 42.0%58.0% DOWN
Medium46.5%185 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN58.3%
UP 41.7%58.3% DOWN
Medium47.0%185 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP54.7%
UP 54.7%45.3% DOWN
Medium51.4%185 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.8%
UP 41.2%58.8% DOWN
Medium49.7%185 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Low51.4%185 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP52.4%
UP 52.4%47.6% DOWN
Medium45.4%185 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.5%185 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low54.1%185 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low50.3%185 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:50:00 UTC

11:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05922ok
  • Coinbase+2.3 bps0.05923ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05921ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05922

Settlement · 11:55:00 UTC

11:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.0 bps0.05920ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05919ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.2 bps0.05917ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05919

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.059290.05922DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%LOSS
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.059180.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.059170.05918UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.059090.05917UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.059060.05909UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.058940.05906UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.059000.05894DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.059130.05916UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.059020.05913UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.5%185 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.4%185 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent54.1%185 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.3%185 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent51.4%185 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.7%185 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology