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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

11:55 → 12:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:55 → 12:00 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1155

Settled

Nov 15, 12:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05919
Index at 11:55:00

Final index

$0.05901

Settlement price

$0.05901
Index at 12:00:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.059010.059070.0591311:5511:5611:5711:5812:00PTB 0.05919

Settlement $0.05901

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN51.5%Low
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.8%
186 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 11:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium46.8%186 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium47.3%186 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.9%
UP 47.1%52.9% DOWN
Medium51.6%186 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium50.0%186 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low51.1%186 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Medium45.7%186 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.2%186 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.8%186 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low50.0%186 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:55:00 UTC

11:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.0 bps0.05920ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.05919ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.2 bps0.05917ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05919

Settlement · 12:00:00 UTC

12:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05901ok
  • Coinbase+4.3 bps0.05904ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05900ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05901

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.059220.05919DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.059290.05922DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%LOSS
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.059180.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.059170.05918UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.059090.05917UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.059060.05909UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.058940.05906UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.059000.05894DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.059130.05916UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.2%186 mkts
  2. 2Order Flow Agent51.1%186 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent53.8%186 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%186 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent51.6%186 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%186 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology