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PROBORA

Market record

DOGE Up or Down · 5 Min

12:00 → 12:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:00 → 12:05 UTC

Market ID doge-5m-20261115-1200

Settled

Nov 15, 12:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.05901
Index at 12:00:00

Final index

$0.05887

Settlement price

$0.05887
Index at 12:05:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.058810.058890.058960.0590412:0012:0112:0212:0312:05PTB 0.05901

Settlement $0.05887

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN53.4%Low
UP 46.6%53.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
47.9%
188 markets
Model version
meta-doge5-v1
published 12:00:13 UTC

Base consensus

5 / 9 DOWN

55.6% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.6%
UP 41.4%58.6% DOWN
Medium46.8%188 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN62.1%
UP 37.9%62.1% DOWN
Medium47.3%188 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium52.1%188 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN58.7%
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Medium50.0%188 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low50.5%188 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN50.3%
UP 49.7%50.3% DOWN
Medium45.7%188 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.2%188 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low53.7%188 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low49.5%188 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for DOGE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:00:00 UTC

12:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05901ok
  • Coinbase+4.3 bps0.05904ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.5 bps0.05900ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05901

Settlement · 12:05:00 UTC

12:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.05887ok
  • Coinbase+0.9 bps0.05888ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.05887ok
Median of 3 sources$0.05887

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min DOGE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.059190.05901DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.5%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.059220.05919DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN50.4%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.059290.05922DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.059320.05929DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.5%LOSS
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.059180.05932UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.059170.05918UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN50.4%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.059090.05917UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.059060.05909UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.1%LOSS
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.058940.05906UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.059000.05894DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.6%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.059080.05900DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on DOGE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · DOGE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.2%188 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent53.7%188 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent50.5%188 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.5%188 mkts
  5. 5Mean Reversion Agent52.1%188 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent50.0%188 mkts

About this market

Dogecoin · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology