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PROBORA

Market record

HYPE Up or Down · 5 Min

08:00 → 08:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:00 → 08:05 UTC

Market ID hype-5m-20261115-0800

Settled

Nov 15, 08:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$64.936
Index at 08:00:00

Final index

$64.960

Settlement price

$64.960
Index at 08:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
64.80064.87765.03208:0008:0108:0208:0308:05PTB 64.936

Settlement $64.960

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN55.9%High
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.9%
112 markets
Model version
meta-hype5-v1
published 08:00:12 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN52.3%
UP 47.7%52.3% DOWN
Medium48.2%112 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium57.1%112 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium50.0%112 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium49.1%112 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low55.4%112 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium47.3%112 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low51.8%112 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low47.3%112 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low49.1%112 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for HYPE: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:00:00 UTC

08:00:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.936ok
  • Hyperliquid−4.9 bps64.905ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.4 bps64.945ok
Median of 3 sources$64.936

Settlement · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BybitUSDT→USD0.0 bps64.960ok
  • Hyperliquid−2.7 bps64.943ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.7 bps64.971ok
Median of 3 sources$64.960

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min HYPE windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:55 → 08:00Nov 1564.83164.936UP5 / 9 DOWNUP56.0%WIN
07:50 → 07:55Nov 1564.70564.831UP5 / 9 DOWNUP55.4%WIN
07:45 → 07:50Nov 1564.76364.705DOWN5 / 9 DOWNUP50.7%LOSS
07:40 → 07:45Nov 1565.12564.763DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.2%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 1565.31765.125DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 1565.41065.317DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.8%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 1565.45465.410DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.8%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 1565.38165.454UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.1%LOSS
07:15 → 07:20Nov 1565.22065.381UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.4%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 1565.43265.220DOWN6 / 9 DOWNUP52.4%LOSS
07:05 → 07:10Nov 1565.25665.432UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.4%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 1565.47465.256DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.7%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on HYPE · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · HYPE 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Order Flow Agent55.4%112 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent51.8%112 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent57.1%112 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent49.1%112 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent47.3%112 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent49.1%112 mkts

About this market

Hyperliquid · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology