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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 15 Min

03:15 → 03:30 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live03:15 → 03:30 UTC

Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0315

Settles in

05:02

Price to beat

$71.74
Index at 03:15:00

Current index

$71.66
−0.08(-0.112%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:30:00
71.6771.8571.9403:1503:1803:2203:2603:30PTB 71.74
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN62.4%High
UP 37.6%62.4% DOWN
Historical accuracy
33.3%
3 markets
Model version
meta-sol15-v1
published 03:15:05 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:15:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN64.8%
UP 35.2%64.8% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Medium100.0%3 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 markets
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Low66.7%3 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium0.0%3 markets
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low100.0%3 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low100.0%3 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.4%
UP 47.6%52.4% DOWN
Low66.7%3 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:15:00 UTC

03:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.74ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.7 bps71.74ok
  • Coinbase+1.1 bps71.75ok
Median of 3 sources$71.74

Current index

03:24:57 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.1 bps71.64ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.66ok
  • Coinbase+0.2 bps71.66ok
Median of 3 sources$71.66

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:00 → 03:15Nov 1571.3071.74UP6 / 9 UPUP50.4%WIN
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1571.0971.30UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1570.5871.09UP6 / 9 UPDOWN53.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent100.0%3 mkts
  2. 2Liquidation Agent100.0%3 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent100.0%3 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent100.0%3 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent66.7%3 mkts

About this market

Solana · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology