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PROBORA

Market record

SOL Up or Down · 15 Min

03:30 → 03:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Live03:30 → 03:45 UTC

Market ID sol-15m-20261115-0330

Settles in

06:56

Price to beat

$71.38
Index at 03:30:00

Current index

$71.64
+0.26(0.364%)

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 03:45:00
71.1971.5171.6703:3003:3303:3703:4103:45PTB 71.38
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists
DOWN59.1%Medium
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
4 markets
Model version
meta-sol15-v1
published 03:30:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 03:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentDOWN64.4%
UP 35.6%64.4% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
Momentum AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium100.0%4 markets
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium100.0%4 markets
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
Order Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low75.0%4 markets
Volatility AgentDOWN54.7%
UP 45.3%54.7% DOWN
Medium25.0%4 markets
Liquidation AgentUP51.8%
UP 51.8%48.2% DOWN
Low75.0%4 markets
OI/Funding AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Low75.0%4 markets
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Low75.0%4 markets

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for SOL: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 03:30:00 UTC

03:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.9 bps71.39ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps71.38ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps71.38ok
Median of 3 sources$71.38

Current index

03:38:01 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.1 bps71.62ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps71.64ok
  • Coinbase+1.9 bps71.65ok
Median of 3 sources$71.64

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min SOL windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
03:15 → 03:30Nov 1571.7471.38DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%WIN
03:00 → 03:15Nov 1571.3071.74UP6 / 9 UPUP50.4%WIN
02:45 → 03:00Nov 1571.0971.30UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.4%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 1570.5871.09UP6 / 9 UPDOWN53.5%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on SOL · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · SOL 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Mean Reversion Agent100.0%4 mkts
  2. 2Momentum Agent100.0%4 mkts
  3. 3Liquidation Agent75.0%4 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent75.0%4 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent75.0%4 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent75.0%4 mkts

About this market

Solana · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology