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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 15 Min

04:45 → 05:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Upcoming04:45 → 05:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-15m-20261115-0445

Opens in

04:29

Price to beat

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Index at 04:45:00

Current index

—

Settlement price

—
Fixed at settlement

Outcome

Pending
Resolves at 05:00:00
04:4504:4804:5204:5605:00The chart starts when the window opens.
Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialists

Publishes when the window opens.

Base consensus

Publishes when the window opens.

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

Previous window

Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 04:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Results appear the moment the window settles.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracy
Trend AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Momentum AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Mean Reversion AgentPublishes when the window opens.
RSI Divergence AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Order Flow AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Volatility AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Liquidation AgentPublishes when the window opens.
OI/Funding AgentPublishes when the window opens.
Whale Flow AgentPublishes when the window opens.

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 04:45:00 UTC

Fixed when the window opens.

Current index

Available when the window opens.

Recent resolved markets

The latest 15 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
04:15 → 04:30Nov 150.97200.9755UP6 / 9 UPUP65.5%WIN
04:00 → 04:15Nov 150.96660.9720UP6 / 9 UPDOWN50.0%LOSS
03:45 → 04:00Nov 150.96720.9666DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN55.3%WIN
03:30 → 03:45Nov 150.96230.9672UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.9%LOSS
03:15 → 03:30Nov 150.96180.9623UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%LOSS
03:00 → 03:15Nov 150.95390.9618UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.8%LOSS
02:45 → 03:00Nov 150.95060.9539UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.9%LOSS
02:30 → 02:45Nov 150.94420.9506UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 15 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 15 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent87.5%8 mkts
  2. 2OI/Funding Agent62.5%8 mkts
  3. 3Order Flow Agent62.5%8 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent50.0%8 mkts
  5. 5Momentum Agent50.0%8 mkts
  6. 6Volatility Agent25.0%8 mkts

About this market

XRP · 15 Minute windows

Fifteen-minute windows sit between micro-structure and intraday trend. Flow and positioning signals still dominate, but trend and volatility context starts to carry real information.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, derivatives positioning and momentum shifts.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology