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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

07:45 → 07:50 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:45 → 07:50 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0745

Settled

Nov 15, 07:50:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9456
Index at 07:45:00

Final index

$0.9439

Settlement price

$0.9439
Index at 07:50:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.94330.94430.94520.946207:4507:4607:4707:4807:50PTB 0.9456

Settlement $0.9439

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN64.3%High
UP 35.7%64.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.4%
107 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 07:45:06 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:45:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium50.5%107 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN59.1%
UP 40.9%59.1% DOWN
Medium52.3%107 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentUP51.0%
UP 51.0%49.0% DOWN
Medium48.6%107 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium50.5%107 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.8%
UP 50.8%49.2% DOWN
Low45.8%107 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN58.2%
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Medium53.3%107 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low54.2%107 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low43.9%107 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low45.8%107 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:45:00 UTC

07:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.8 bps0.9455ok
  • Coinbase——error
  • OKXUSDT→USD+0.8 bps0.9457ok
Median of 2 sources$0.9456

Settlement · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.9437ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9439ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+5.0 bps0.9444ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9439

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.94960.9456DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.95100.9496DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.95420.9510DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.95560.9542DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.95630.9556DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.95460.9563UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.95830.9552DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.95840.9583DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.96380.9584DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN
06:45 → 06:50Nov 150.96290.9638UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.2%107 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent53.3%107 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent52.3%107 mkts
  4. 4Order Flow Agent45.8%107 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent50.5%107 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent45.8%107 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology