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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

07:50 → 07:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:50 → 07:55 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0750

Settled

Nov 15, 07:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9439
Index at 07:50:00

Final index

$0.9457

Settlement price

$0.9457
Index at 07:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94270.94460.945607:5007:5107:5207:5307:55PTB 0.9439

Settlement $0.9457

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN77.8%High
UP 22.2%77.8% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.9%
108 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 07:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN58.2%
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Medium50.9%108 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.2%
UP 43.8%56.2% DOWN
Medium52.8%108 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium48.1%108 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN72.8%
UP 27.2%72.8% DOWN
High50.9%108 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low45.4%108 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium53.7%108 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low53.7%108 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low43.5%108 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.3%
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Low46.3%108 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:50:00 UTC

07:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.8 bps0.9437ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9439ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+5.0 bps0.9444ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9439

Settlement · 07:55:00 UTC

07:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps0.9458ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9457ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps0.9457ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9457

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.94560.9439DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.94960.9456DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.95100.9496DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.95420.9510DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.95560.9542DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.95630.9556DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.95460.9563UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.95830.9552DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.95840.9583DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%WIN
06:50 → 06:55Nov 150.96380.9584DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.5%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.7%108 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent53.7%108 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent52.8%108 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent46.3%108 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent50.9%108 mkts
  6. 6Order Flow Agent45.4%108 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology