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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

07:55 → 08:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled07:55 → 08:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0755

Settled

Nov 15, 08:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9457
Index at 07:55:00

Final index

$0.9472

Settlement price

$0.9472
Index at 08:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94650.94730.948207:5507:5607:5707:5808:00PTB 0.9457

Settlement $0.9472

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN51.3%Low
UP 48.7%51.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
52.7%
110 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 07:55:05 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 UP

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 07:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium51.8%110 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentUP50.7%
UP 50.7%49.3% DOWN
Medium53.6%110 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium49.1%110 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Medium51.8%110 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low44.5%110 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Medium54.5%110 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low52.7%110 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.4%
UP 50.4%49.6% DOWN
Low42.7%110 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low46.4%110 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 07:55:00 UTC

07:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.4 bps0.9458ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9457ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.2 bps0.9457ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9457

Settlement · 08:00:00 UTC

08:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9471ok
  • Coinbase+1.3 bps0.9473ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9472ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9472

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.94390.9457UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.94560.9439DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.94960.9456DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.95100.9496DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.95420.9510DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.95560.9542DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.95630.9556DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.95460.9563UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
07:00 → 07:05Nov 150.95830.9552DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.6%WIN
06:55 → 07:00Nov 150.95840.9583DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.2%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.7%110 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent54.5%110 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent53.6%110 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent51.8%110 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent51.8%110 mkts
  6. 6Whale Flow Agent46.4%110 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology