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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

09:00 → 09:05 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:00 → 09:05 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0900

Settled

Nov 15, 09:05:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9566
Index at 09:00:00

Final index

$0.9642

Settlement price

$0.9642
Index at 09:05:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.95530.95840.96150.964609:0009:0109:0209:0309:05PTB 0.9566

Settlement $0.9642

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN59.7%High
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.1%
131 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 09:00:10 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:00:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.4%
UP 44.6%55.4% DOWN
Medium50.4%131 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium50.4%131 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN53.6%
UP 46.4%53.6% DOWN
Medium48.1%131 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium49.6%131 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low43.5%131 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Medium52.7%131 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low51.9%131 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low45.8%131 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Low46.6%131 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9566ok
  • Coinbase−2.1 bps0.9564ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.6 bps0.9567ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9566

Settlement · 09:05:00 UTC

09:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9642ok
  • Coinbase−0.9 bps0.9641ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.6 bps0.9643ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9642

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.95300.9566UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.95070.9530UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.95100.9507DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.94960.9510UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.95210.9496DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.95530.9521DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.95100.9553UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.94750.9510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.94770.9475DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.95030.9477DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.94860.9503UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.94720.9486UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent51.9%131 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.7%131 mkts
  3. 3OI/Funding Agent45.8%131 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent46.6%131 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent50.4%131 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent50.4%131 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology