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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

08:55 → 09:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:55 → 09:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0855

Settled

Nov 15, 09:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9530
Index at 08:55:00

Final index

$0.9566

Settlement price

$0.9566
Index at 09:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.95420.95550.956808:5508:5608:5708:5809:00PTB 0.9530

Settlement $0.9566

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN65.6%High
UP 34.4%65.6% DOWN
Historical accuracy
48.1%
129 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 08:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium50.4%129 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN53.9%
UP 46.1%53.9% DOWN
Medium50.4%129 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium48.1%129 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.3%
UP 43.7%56.3% DOWN
Medium49.6%129 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP50.5%
UP 50.5%49.5% DOWN
Low43.4%129 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN59.7%
UP 40.3%59.7% DOWN
Medium52.7%129 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low51.9%129 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.1%
UP 49.9%50.1% DOWN
Low45.7%129 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentUP51.6%
UP 51.6%48.4% DOWN
Low47.3%129 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:55:00 UTC

08:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9530ok
  • Coinbase+1.7 bps0.9532ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9530ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9530

Settlement · 09:00:00 UTC

09:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9566ok
  • Coinbase−2.1 bps0.9564ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD+1.6 bps0.9567ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9566

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.95070.9530UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.95100.9507DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.94960.9510UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.95210.9496DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.95530.9521DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN
08:25 → 08:30Nov 150.95100.9553UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%LOSS
08:20 → 08:25Nov 150.94750.9510UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.3%LOSS
08:15 → 08:20Nov 150.94770.9475DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.6%WIN
08:10 → 08:15Nov 150.95030.9477DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN63.8%WIN
08:05 → 08:10Nov 150.94860.9503UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%LOSS
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.94720.9486UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.94570.9472UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent51.9%129 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.7%129 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent47.3%129 mkts
  4. 4OI/Funding Agent45.7%129 mkts
  5. 5Trend Agent50.4%129 mkts
  6. 6Momentum Agent50.4%129 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology