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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

08:05 → 08:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled08:05 → 08:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0805

Settled

Nov 15, 08:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9486
Index at 08:05:00

Final index

$0.9503

Settlement price

$0.9503
Index at 08:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.94950.95040.951408:0508:0608:0708:0808:10PTB 0.9486

Settlement $0.9503

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.7%High
UP 39.3%60.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
51.3%
113 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 08:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 08:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium50.4%113 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium52.2%113 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN55.9%
UP 44.1%55.9% DOWN
Medium47.8%113 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.7%
UP 44.3%55.7% DOWN
Medium50.4%113 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Low44.2%113 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Medium54.0%113 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.0%
UP 48.0%52.0% DOWN
Low52.2%113 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low44.2%113 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low46.0%113 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 08:05:00 UTC

08:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9486ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps0.9488ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9485ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9486

Settlement · 08:10:00 UTC

08:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD+1.2 bps0.9504ok
  • Coinbase0.0 bps0.9503ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.4 bps0.9502ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9503

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
08:00 → 08:05Nov 150.94720.9486UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.4%LOSS
07:55 → 08:00Nov 150.94570.9472UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.3%LOSS
07:50 → 07:55Nov 150.94390.9457UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN77.8%LOSS
07:45 → 07:50Nov 150.94560.9439DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.3%WIN
07:40 → 07:45Nov 150.94960.9456DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
07:35 → 07:40Nov 150.95100.9496DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%WIN
07:30 → 07:35Nov 150.95420.9510DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:25 → 07:30Nov 150.95560.9542DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.5%WIN
07:20 → 07:25Nov 150.95630.9556DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN66.6%WIN
07:15 → 07:20Nov 150.95460.9563UP9 / 9 DOWNDOWN68.8%LOSS
07:10 → 07:15Nov 150.95700.9546DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.9%WIN
07:05 → 07:10Nov 150.95520.9570UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.2%113 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent54.0%113 mkts
  3. 3Momentum Agent52.2%113 mkts
  4. 4Trend Agent50.4%113 mkts
  5. 5Whale Flow Agent46.0%113 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent44.2%113 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology