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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

10:30 → 10:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:30 → 10:35 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1030

Settled

Nov 15, 10:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9620
Index at 10:30:00

Final index

$0.9624

Settlement price

$0.9624
Index at 10:35:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96100.96170.96230.963010:3010:3110:3210:3310:35PTB 0.9620

Settlement $0.9624

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN57.3%High
UP 42.7%57.3% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.4%
160 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 10:30:09 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN57.2%
UP 42.8%57.2% DOWN
Medium51.9%160 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.1%
UP 42.9%57.1% DOWN
Medium50.6%160 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN59.9%
UP 40.1%59.9% DOWN
Medium48.8%160 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN50.5%
UP 49.5%50.5% DOWN
Medium51.2%160 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low45.6%160 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium51.9%160 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low53.1%160 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.1%
UP 50.1%49.9% DOWN
Low45.6%160 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP50.6%
UP 50.6%49.4% DOWN
Low48.1%160 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:30:00 UTC

10:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9620ok
  • Coinbase+1.8 bps0.9622ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9619ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9620

Settlement · 10:35:00 UTC

10:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−3.6 bps0.9620ok
  • Coinbase+0.3 bps0.9624ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9624ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9624

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.96290.9620DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.96450.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.96790.9645DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.96750.9679UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 150.96460.9675UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 150.96300.9646UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 150.96340.9630DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 150.96210.9634UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 150.96570.9621DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.3%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 150.96590.9657DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%WIN
09:35 → 09:40Nov 150.96560.9659UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.2%LOSS
09:30 → 09:35Nov 150.96960.9656DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.1%160 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent51.9%160 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent51.9%160 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.1%160 mkts
  5. 5OI/Funding Agent45.6%160 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent51.2%160 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology