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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

09:30 → 09:35 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled09:30 → 09:35 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-0930

Settled

Nov 15, 09:35:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9696
Index at 09:30:00

Final index

$0.9656

Settlement price

$0.9656
Index at 09:35:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96550.96680.968109:3009:3109:3209:3309:35PTB 0.9696

Settlement $0.9656

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN61.1%High
UP 38.9%61.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.6%
141 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 09:30:07 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 09:30:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium51.8%141 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN50.7%
UP 49.3%50.7% DOWN
Medium51.1%141 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN51.4%
UP 48.6%51.4% DOWN
Medium49.6%141 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN52.8%
UP 47.2%52.8% DOWN
Medium51.8%141 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentUP50.9%
UP 50.9%49.1% DOWN
Low46.1%141 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN57.5%
UP 42.5%57.5% DOWN
Medium52.5%141 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low52.5%141 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentDOWN50.2%
UP 49.8%50.2% DOWN
Low44.7%141 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.2%
UP 51.2%48.8% DOWN
Low48.9%141 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 09:30:00 UTC

09:30:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9696ok
  • Coinbase+0.6 bps0.9697ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−4.6 bps0.9692ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9696

Settlement · 09:35:00 UTC

09:35:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9655ok
  • Coinbase+0.1 bps0.9656ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9656ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9656

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
09:25 → 09:30Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
09:20 → 09:25Nov 150.96850.9682DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN71.3%WIN
09:15 → 09:20Nov 150.96980.9685DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.4%WIN
09:10 → 09:15Nov 150.96660.9698UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%LOSS
09:05 → 09:10Nov 150.96420.9666UP6 / 9 UPDOWN54.1%LOSS
09:00 → 09:05Nov 150.95660.9642UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.7%LOSS
08:55 → 09:00Nov 150.95300.9566UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%LOSS
08:50 → 08:55Nov 150.95070.9530UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN53.1%LOSS
08:45 → 08:50Nov 150.95100.9507DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.7%WIN
08:40 → 08:45Nov 150.94960.9510UP5 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.7%LOSS
08:35 → 08:40Nov 150.95210.9496DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN69.0%WIN
08:30 → 08:35Nov 150.95530.9521DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.5%141 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent52.5%141 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent51.8%141 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.9%141 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent51.8%141 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent49.6%141 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology