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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

10:55 → 11:00 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:55 → 11:00 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1055

Settled

Nov 15, 11:00:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9628
Index at 10:55:00

Final index

$0.9649

Settlement price

$0.9649
Index at 11:00:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96240.96320.96400.964810:5510:5610:5710:5811:00PTB 0.9628

Settlement $0.9649

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN58.2%High
UP 41.8%58.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.7%
169 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 10:55:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:55:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.6%
UP 45.4%54.6% DOWN
Medium52.7%169 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium49.1%169 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.4%
UP 43.6%56.4% DOWN
Medium49.1%169 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.8%
UP 43.2%56.8% DOWN
Medium52.1%169 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentUP51.4%
UP 51.4%48.6% DOWN
Low45.0%169 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Medium51.5%169 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN52.2%
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Low53.3%169 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low45.0%169 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentUP51.3%
UP 51.3%48.7% DOWN
Low49.1%169 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:55:00 UTC

10:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9628ok
  • Coinbase+1.0 bps0.9629ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9628ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9628

Settlement · 11:00:00 UTC

11:00:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9648ok
  • Coinbase+1.5 bps0.9650ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9649ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9649

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.96290.9628DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.96340.9629DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.96270.9634UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.96240.9627UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.96200.9624UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.96290.9620DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.96450.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.96790.9645DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.96750.9679UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 150.96460.9675UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 150.96300.9646UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 150.96340.9630DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.3%169 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.7%169 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.1%169 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent51.5%169 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent52.1%169 mkts
  6. 6Mean Reversion Agent49.1%169 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology