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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

10:40 → 10:45 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled10:40 → 10:45 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1040

Settled

Nov 15, 10:45:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9627
Index at 10:40:00

Final index

$0.9634

Settlement price

$0.9634
Index at 10:45:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96220.96310.963510:4010:4110:4210:4310:45PTB 0.9627

Settlement $0.9634

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN58.7%High
UP 41.3%58.7% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.4%
164 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 10:40:04 UTC

Base consensus

8 / 9 DOWN

88.9% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 10:40:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium52.4%164 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN51.5%
UP 48.5%51.5% DOWN
Medium49.4%164 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN56.1%
UP 43.9%56.1% DOWN
Medium48.8%164 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.0%
UP 49.0%51.0% DOWN
Medium51.8%164 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Low45.7%164 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN54.0%
UP 46.0%54.0% DOWN
Medium51.8%164 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low53.0%164 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low45.1%164 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low48.2%164 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 10:40:00 UTC

10:40:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9627ok
  • Coinbase+2.0 bps0.9629ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−3.6 bps0.9624ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9627

Settlement · 10:45:00 UTC

10:45:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9634ok
  • Coinbase+2.0 bps0.9636ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9632ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9634

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.96240.9627UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.96200.9624UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.96290.9620DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.96450.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.96790.9645DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.96750.9679UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS
10:05 → 10:10Nov 150.96460.9675UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN64.7%LOSS
10:00 → 10:05Nov 150.96300.9646UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.6%LOSS
09:55 → 10:00Nov 150.96340.9630DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.0%WIN
09:50 → 09:55Nov 150.96210.9634UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.1%LOSS
09:45 → 09:50Nov 150.96570.9621DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN62.3%WIN
09:40 → 09:45Nov 150.96590.9657DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.9%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.0%164 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.4%164 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent51.8%164 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.2%164 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent51.8%164 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent45.1%164 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology