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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

12:50 → 12:55 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:50 → 12:55 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1250

Settled

Nov 15, 12:55:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9678
Index at 12:50:00

Final index

$0.9690

Settlement price

$0.9690
Index at 12:55:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.96840.96890.969512:5012:5112:5212:5312:55PTB 0.9678

Settlement $0.9690

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN60.1%Medium
UP 39.9%60.1% DOWN
Historical accuracy
49.8%
211 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 12:50:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:50:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN55.1%
UP 44.9%55.1% DOWN
Medium52.6%211 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN60.5%
UP 39.5%60.5% DOWN
Medium49.3%211 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN50.6%
UP 49.4%50.6% DOWN
Medium49.3%211 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN55.3%
UP 44.7%55.3% DOWN
Medium52.1%211 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN52.1%
UP 47.9%52.1% DOWN
Low47.9%211 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentDOWN59.5%
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Medium51.2%211 marketsLOSS
Liquidation AgentUP52.2%
UP 52.2%47.8% DOWN
Low53.6%211 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.3%
UP 50.3%49.7% DOWN
Low46.4%211 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN52.6%
UP 47.4%52.6% DOWN
Low49.3%211 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:50:00 UTC

12:50:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9676ok
  • Coinbase+0.8 bps0.9679ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9678ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9678

Settlement · 12:55:00 UTC

12:55:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9690ok
  • Coinbase+3.4 bps0.9693ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9689ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9690

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:45 → 12:50Nov 150.96950.9678DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.7%WIN
12:40 → 12:45Nov 150.96820.9695UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.6%LOSS
12:35 → 12:40Nov 150.97120.9682DOWN6 / 9 UPUP53.1%LOSS
12:30 → 12:35Nov 150.97030.9712UP7 / 9 UPDOWN50.7%LOSS
12:25 → 12:30Nov 150.96840.9703UP6 / 9 UPDOWN51.8%LOSS
12:20 → 12:25Nov 150.96700.9684UP5 / 9 UPDOWN52.1%LOSS
12:15 → 12:20Nov 150.96490.9670UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%LOSS
12:10 → 12:15Nov 150.96460.9649UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN56.2%LOSS
12:05 → 12:10Nov 150.96080.9646UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.2%LOSS
12:00 → 12:05Nov 150.96230.9608DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.96510.9623DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.1%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.96640.9651DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent53.6%211 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.6%211 mkts
  3. 3Whale Flow Agent49.3%211 mkts
  4. 4Volatility Agent51.2%211 mkts
  5. 5Order Flow Agent47.9%211 mkts
  6. 6RSI Divergence Agent52.1%211 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology