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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

12:05 → 12:10 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled12:05 → 12:10 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1205

Settled

Nov 15, 12:10:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9608
Index at 12:05:00

Final index

$0.9646

Settlement price

$0.9646
Index at 12:10:00

Outcome

UP
Immutable record
0.95960.96140.96310.964912:0512:0612:0712:0812:10PTB 0.9608

Settlement $0.9646

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsLOSS
DOWN52.2%Low
UP 47.8%52.2% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.3%
195 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 12:05:04 UTC

Base consensus

6 / 9 DOWN

66.7% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 12:05:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN56.6%
UP 43.4%56.6% DOWN
Medium53.3%195 marketsLOSS
Momentum AgentDOWN57.8%
UP 42.2%57.8% DOWN
Medium50.8%195 marketsLOSS
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.4%
UP 45.6%54.4% DOWN
Medium49.2%195 marketsLOSS
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN51.1%
UP 48.9%51.1% DOWN
Medium52.3%195 marketsLOSS
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.8%
UP 49.2%50.8% DOWN
Low45.6%195 marketsLOSS
Volatility AgentUP54.0%
UP 54.0%46.0% DOWN
Medium51.8%195 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low52.8%195 marketsWIN
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low45.6%195 marketsWIN
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.2%
UP 48.8%51.2% DOWN
Low48.7%195 marketsLOSS

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 12:05:00 UTC

12:05:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9607ok
  • Coinbase+1.6 bps0.9610ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9608ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9608

Settlement · 12:10:00 UTC

12:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−2.6 bps0.9644ok
  • Coinbase+3.8 bps0.9650ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9646ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9646

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
12:00 → 12:05Nov 150.96230.9608DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%WIN
11:55 → 12:00Nov 150.96510.9623DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.1%WIN
11:50 → 11:55Nov 150.96640.9651DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.1%WIN
11:45 → 11:50Nov 150.96730.9664DOWN5 / 9 UPDOWN54.4%WIN
11:40 → 11:45Nov 150.96730.9673FLAT6 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.4%PUSH
11:35 → 11:40Nov 150.96550.9673UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.2%LOSS
11:30 → 11:35Nov 150.96440.9655UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.9%LOSS
11:25 → 11:30Nov 150.96350.9644UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN54.4%LOSS
11:20 → 11:25Nov 150.96360.9635DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN52.0%WIN
11:15 → 11:20Nov 150.96170.9636UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN51.7%LOSS
11:10 → 11:15Nov 150.96190.9617DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.5%WIN
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.96380.9619DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%WIN

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent52.8%195 mkts
  2. 2Volatility Agent51.8%195 mkts
  3. 3Trend Agent53.3%195 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent48.7%195 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent52.3%195 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent45.6%195 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology