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PROBORA

Market record

XRP Up or Down · 5 Min

11:10 → 11:15 UTC, kept as a permanent record. Predictions shown are exactly what was published before settlement.
Settled11:10 → 11:15 UTC

Market ID xrp-5m-20261115-1110

Settled

Nov 15, 11:15:00 UTC

Price to beat

$0.9619
Index at 11:10:00

Final index

$0.9617

Settlement price

$0.9617
Index at 11:15:00

Outcome

DOWN
Immutable record
0.96090.96250.963311:1011:1111:1211:1311:15PTB 0.9619

Settlement $0.9617

Meta AgentIndependent prediction on top of all specialistsWIN
DOWN59.5%Medium
UP 40.5%59.5% DOWN
Historical accuracy
50.0%
174 markets
Model version
meta-xrp5-v1
published 11:10:04 UTC

Base consensus

7 / 9 DOWN

77.8% agreement · 9 of 9 specialists eligible

Base Consensus is a raw count. Meta is not a vote: it weighs each specialist's reliability for this market.

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Agent predictions

Nine specialists, frozen at 11:10:00 UTC with their model versions. Every result below is final and stays on the record.

AgentPredictionUP / DOWNConfidenceHist. accuracyResult
Trend AgentDOWN54.8%
UP 45.2%54.8% DOWN
Medium52.9%174 marketsWIN
Momentum AgentDOWN62.7%
UP 37.3%62.7% DOWN
Medium49.4%174 marketsWIN
Mean Reversion AgentDOWN54.1%
UP 45.9%54.1% DOWN
Medium49.4%174 marketsWIN
RSI Divergence AgentDOWN56.0%
UP 44.0%56.0% DOWN
Medium52.3%174 marketsWIN
Order Flow AgentDOWN50.4%
UP 49.6%50.4% DOWN
Low44.3%174 marketsWIN
Volatility AgentDOWN55.2%
UP 44.8%55.2% DOWN
Medium51.7%174 marketsWIN
Liquidation AgentUP50.0%
UP 50.0%50.0% DOWN
Low54.0%174 marketsLOSS
OI/Funding AgentUP50.2%
UP 50.2%49.8% DOWN
Low44.8%174 marketsLOSS
Whale Flow AgentDOWN51.6%
UP 48.4%51.6% DOWN
Low47.7%174 marketsWIN

Independent price resolution

Probora Price Index for XRP: median of 3 independent sources with staleness, outlier and quorum checks.

How the index works

Price To Beat · 11:10:00 UTC

11:10:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−1.6 bps0.9617ok
  • Coinbase+2.5 bps0.9621ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9619ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9619

Settlement · 11:15:00 UTC

11:15:00 UTC
  • BinanceUSDT→USD−0.5 bps0.9617ok
  • Coinbase+3.7 bps0.9621ok
  • OKXUSDT→USD0.0 bps0.9617ok
Median of 3 sources$0.9617

Recent resolved markets

The latest 5 Min XRP windows, with wins and losses exactly as they were published.

Window (UTC)Price to beatSettlementOutcomeBase consensusMetaMeta result
11:05 → 11:10Nov 150.96380.9619DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN67.1%WIN
11:00 → 11:05Nov 15——VOID—Insufficient Data
10:55 → 11:00Nov 150.96280.9649UP6 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.2%LOSS
10:50 → 10:55Nov 150.96290.9628DOWN8 / 9 DOWNDOWN65.6%WIN
10:45 → 10:50Nov 150.96340.9629DOWN6 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.0%WIN
10:40 → 10:45Nov 150.96270.9634UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN58.7%LOSS
10:35 → 10:40Nov 150.96240.9627UP8 / 9 DOWNDOWN59.2%LOSS
10:30 → 10:35Nov 150.96200.9624UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.3%LOSS
10:25 → 10:30Nov 150.96290.9620DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.8%WIN
10:20 → 10:25Nov 150.96450.9629DOWN7 / 9 DOWNDOWN60.2%WIN
10:15 → 10:20Nov 150.96790.9645DOWN5 / 9 DOWNDOWN61.8%WIN
10:10 → 10:15Nov 150.96750.9679UP7 / 9 DOWNDOWN57.8%LOSS

Performance history

Weekly directional accuracy on XRP · 5 Min

Collecting observations

Agents publish here after 100 resolved windows.

Leaderboard · XRP 5 Min

View all →
  1. 1Liquidation Agent54.0%174 mkts
  2. 2Trend Agent52.9%174 mkts
  3. 3Volatility Agent51.7%174 mkts
  4. 4Whale Flow Agent47.7%174 mkts
  5. 5RSI Divergence Agent52.3%174 mkts
  6. 6OI/Funding Agent44.8%174 mkts

About this market

XRP · 5 Minute windows

Five-minute windows capture micro-structure: the balance of aggressive buyers and sellers, short bursts of momentum and liquidity gaps. Outcomes are noisy, so calibrated probabilities matter more than bold calls.

Signals that tend to matter most on this horizon: order flow, short-horizon momentum and liquidity behavior.

Verification

  • Price To Beat and Settlement come from the Probora Price Index, never from a prediction exchange.
  • Predictions are frozen at the window open with model version and timestamp, and can never be edited.
  • An exact tie settles FLAT (push). Quorum failures settle VOID. Neither is ever forced into UP or DOWN.
Read the methodology